Hindi lang laki ng utang—tingnan ang MINANA, BINAYARAN, INTEREST at DEBT-TO-GDP.
DUTERTE vs BBM: SINO ANG MAS MANAGEABLE SA UTANG?
Hindi sapat na sabihing “mas malaki ang utang ngayon” o “mas malaki ang nadagdag noon.” Para maging patas, tingnan natin ang minanang utang, nadagdag sa outstanding debt, principal payments, interest payments, debt-to-GDP, debt service burden, at laki ng national budget.
📊 DUTERTE | 2016–2022
• Minanang NG debt: ₱6.09T
• Outstanding debt end-2022: ₱13.42T
• Net increase: ~₱7.33T
• Debt-to-GDP: 42.1% → 60.9%
• Principal payments: ~₱3.86T
• Interest payments: ~₱2.64T
• Total debt service: ~₱6.50T
📊 MARCOS JR. | 2023–2025
• Minanang NG debt: ₱13.42T
• Outstanding debt end-2025: ₱17.71T
• Net increase: ~₱4.29T
• Debt-to-GDP: 60.9% → 63.2%
• Principal payments: ~₱3.47T
• Interest payments: ~₱2.26T
• Total debt service: ~₱5.73T
• 2025 debt service = 47.2% ng NG revenues
🏆 DEBT SCORECARD — 1 to 10
DUTERTE
💰 Starting Debt Burden — 9/10
📉 Debt-to-GDP Starting Point — 9/10
💵 Principal Payments — 8/10
💸 Interest Burden — 8/10
📊 Debt Service vs Revenue — 8/10
📈 Debt Increase — 6/10
TOTAL: 48/60
MARCOS JR.
💰 Starting Debt Burden — 5/10
📉 Debt-to-GDP Starting Point — 5/10
💵 Principal Payments — 7/10
💸 Interest Burden — 7/10
📊 Debt Service vs Revenue — 5/10
📈 Debt Increase — 7/10
TOTAL: 36/60
⚖️ PERO MAY IMPORTANTENG CAVEAT: Mas mahaba ang Duterte period na 2016–2022 kumpara sa 2023–2025 na ginamit dito, kaya hindi fair na ikumpara lang ang kabuuang pesos. Sa kabilang banda, mas mataas na ang starting debt burden na hinarap ng Marcos administration, habang mas mabagal ang pag-akyat ng debt-to-GDP mula 2022 hanggang 2025.
🔥 Kaya ang tunay na tanong:
Sino ang mas manageable — ang administrasyong nagsimula sa mas mababang utang pero nakaranas ng malaking debt increase, o ang administrasyong nagsimula sa mas malaking minanang utang pero mas mabagal ang pagtaas ng debt-to-GDP?
Ikaw ang magdesisyon. Duterte o BBM?
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